Palace are without a win in their last eight league games (D3 L5) after a 2-0 loss to Everton last time out, and their chances of turning that around don’t look too strong.
Nottingham Forest: Matz Sels, Jair Cunha, Nikola Milenkovic, Murillo, Ola Aina, James McAtee, Ibrahim Sangaré, Luca Netz, Dan Ndoye, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Igor Jesus.
Newcastle: Lukás Hornícek, Amar Dedic, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Lewis Miley, Jacob Ramsey, Anthony Elanga, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Nick Woltemade.
They are given a 49.6% chance of winning – and a further 24.4% of a draw – but it’s also worth noting Chelsea have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 17 league games.
Ipswich Town: Kjell Scherpen, Dara O’Shea, Issa Diop, Jacob Greaves, Leif Davis, Marcelino Núñez, Sasa Lukic, Abdul Fatawu, Julio Enciso, Daizen Maeda, Emersonn.
Aston Villa: Zion Suzuki, Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Victor Lindelöf, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen, Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn, Ross Barkley, Matty Cash, Alejandro Garnacho, Emiliano Buendia.
Despite being the supercomputer’s favourites, the Magpies are winless in their last eight Premier League meetings with Bournemouth (D5 L3), since a 4-1 victory in July 2020 against a Cherries side managed by Eddie Howe.
The supercomputer’s most likely winners on MD3 are Manchester City, who will look to continue their perfect start under Maresca at home to Coventry City.
Sergej Jakirović’s side have been excellent this campaign, and their 34.8% chance of victory is only marginally lower than the 39.3% assigned to Unai Emery’s visitors – the chances of a draw stand at 25.9%.
And with David Moyes losing 23 Premier League matches against United (only Harry Redknapp has ever lost more against the Red Devils, with 24), the visitors have the edge.
Tottenham: Antonín Kinsky, Pedro Porro, Jan Paul van Hecke, Micky van de Ven, Andy Robertson, Rodrigo Bentancur, Sandro Tonali, Sávio, Conor Gallagher, Mathys Tel, Omar Marmoush.
Chelsea: Emiliano Martínez, Levi Colwill, Maxence Lacroix, Josh Acheampong, Jorrel Hato, Roméo Lavia, Reece James, Morgan Rogers, Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto, João Pedro
Real Madrid: Thibaut Courtois, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rüdiger, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella, Jude Bellingham, Federico Valverde, Yan Diomande, Brahim Díaz, Vinícius Júnior, Kylian Mbappé
Napoli: Alex Meret, Leonardo Spinazzola, Rafa Marín, Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Kevin De Bruyne, Stanislav Lobotka, Frank Anguissa, Alisson Santos, Rasmus Højlund, Matteo Politano
First goalscorer11 pts correct · 7 pts wrongShare with the correct scorer
Total goals11 pts correct · 7 pts wrong · landing on the line does not countShare with the correct over/under
Man of the matchShown but not scoredShown but not scored
Experts score exactly what a Pelea user scores for the same call, which is what makes the numbers comparable. A wrong pick still scores, just as it does for users, and the floor is 1 points; only a pick we could not check at all scores nothing. Precision is measured per tip type, and starting XIs are excluded from the overall percentage: nine of eleven is not a full hit and would drag the percentage down artificially. A pick we inferred from a predicted scoreline counts only in its own category, never in the points total.
The experts are real, named sources. These predictions were published by the outlets and people named — Pelea did not write them, does not endorse them, and they are not betting advice. Each one links to where it was published.
