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Pelea · Expert panel · Profile · ← The barometer
Sports Mole

Matt Law

Sports Mole
#11 in Premier League#6 overall
Exact scoreStarting XI
Source: Sports Mole — match previews
Correct winner
43%
Season points
238 pts
Position
#6 of 17
Exact scores
3
Points per round
55R1
48R21
—R32
—R34
—R37
11R38
Accuracy by prediction type
Correct winner43%
Exact score21%
Starting XI5%
First goalscorer—
Total goals71%

Round by round

Premier League 26/2754 pts
Round 10 of 6 correct30 pts
ARS–COV3–0Tip 2–037 ptsStarting XI: +5 pts

Arsenal possible starting lineup: Raya; White, Mosquera, Gabriel, Calafiori; Lewis-Skelly, Guimaraes; Saka, Odegaard, Tzolis; Havertz

Source
HUL–MNU2–0Tip 1–225 ptsStarting XI: +5 pts

Hull City possible starting lineup: Tzolakis; Coyle, Ajayi, Mendy, Giles; Slater, Crooks; Belloumi, Hjerto-Dahl, Stroud; McBurnie

Source
Round 30 of 2 correct14 pts
FUL–PAL2–3Tip 2–125 pts

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup: Henderson; Canvot, Richards, Tomiyasu; Khalaili, Kamada, Wharton, Mitchell; McNeil, Larsen, Pino

Source
Round 50 of 2 correct10 pts
BRE–CHE3–0Tip 2–221 pts

We say: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea

Source
Champions League 26/2755 pts
Round 12 of 9 correct55 pts
PEH–EGR1–1Tip 2–121 pts

Petrocub Hincesti possible starting lineup: Avarm; Cucos, Platica, Bors, Jardan; David, Djou, Bogaciuc, Lupan; Puscas, Popescu

Source
BIS–KLA1–2Tip 1–233 pts

We say: Atert Bissen 1-2 KI Klaksvik (KI win 4-2 on aggregate)

Source
FCB–FEY5–1Tip 3–135 ptsStarting XI: +3 pts

Barcelona possible starting lineup: J Garcia; Kounde, Cubarsi, Christensen, Espart; Rodri, Pedri; Yamal, Fermin, Gordon; Raphinha

Source
MNU–SBH4–0Tip 3–135 ptsStarting XI: +5 pts

It is difficult to predict a clean sheet for Man United given their defensive frailties, but we are expecting the Red Devils to get their Champions League campaign off to a winning start.

Source
Superligaen 26/2755 pts
Round 14 of 8 correct55 pts
AGF–BIF1–1Tip 1–141 ptsStarting XI: +1 pts

This is a really interesting match-up on the opening weekend of the new campaign, and we can see a tight game ending in a share of the spoils.

Source
RAN–SIF1–1Tip 1–136 ptsStarting XI: +2 pts

Silkeborg possible starting lineup: Holm; Gammelby, Priesborg, Ganchas, Ostrom; Kirk, M Larsen, Westh; Ross, McCowatt, Al Hajj

Source
Premier League 25/2659 pts
Round 211 of 8 correct48 pts
NEW–LEE4–3Tip 2–133 ptsStarting XI: +7 pts

We say: Newcastle United 2-1 Leeds United

Source
BUR–MNU2–2Tip 1–337 ptsStarting XI: +11 pts

We say: Burnley 1-3 Manchester United

Source
Round 32not checked yet—
Round 34not checked yet—
Round 37not checked yet—
Round 380 of 3 correct11 pts
BHA–MNU0–3Tip 2–229 ptsStarting XI: +3 pts

We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 Manchester United

Source
Outside the roundsMatches with no round number — cups, Super Cup and the like15 pts

Recent predictions

Not checked yetFixtures that have not finished, or that we have not checked yet.4
MAD–BFC25 Feb 2026Tip 2–1not checked yet

We say: Real Madrid 2-1 Benfica (Real Madrid to win 3-1 on aggregate)

Source
MNU–LEE13 Apr 2026Tip 3–1not checked yet

Leeds are more than capable of making this a very difficult game for Man United, and we are backing the visitors to find the back of the net, but the Red Devils have been largely excellent under Carrick, so we can see a routine home success on Monday night.

Source
MNU–BRE27 Apr 2026Tip 2–1not checked yet

We say: Manchester United 2-1 Brentford

Source
AVI–LFC15 May 2026Tip 1–1not checked yet

We say: Aston Villa 1-1 Liverpool

Source
How points and precision work
TypePointsPrecision
Result11 pts correct · 7 pts wrongShare with the correct winner
Exact score11 pts both scores right · 7 pts one right · 3 pts neitherShare with the exact scoreline
Starting XI11 pts all correct · 7 pts 1 wrong · 5 pts 2 wrong · 3 pts 3 wrong · 2 pts 4 wrong · 1 thereafterShare with all 11 correct
First goalscorer11 pts correct · 7 pts wrongShare with the correct scorer
Total goals11 pts correct · 7 pts wrong · landing on the line does not countShare with the correct over/under
Man of the matchShown but not scoredShown but not scored

Experts score exactly what a Pelea user scores for the same call, which is what makes the numbers comparable. A wrong pick still scores, just as it does for users, and the floor is 1 points; only a pick we could not check at all scores nothing. Precision is measured per tip type, and starting XIs are excluded from the overall percentage: nine of eleven is not a full hit and would drag the percentage down artificially. A pick we inferred from a predicted scoreline counts only in its own category, never in the points total.

The experts are real, named sources. These predictions were published by the outlets and people named — Pelea did not write them, does not endorse them, and they are not betting advice. Each one links to where it was published.

Matt Law · Expert panel