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Pelea · Expert panel · Profile · ← The barometer
Sports Mole

Oliver Thomas

Sports Mole
#4 in Premier League#7 overall
Exact scoreStarting XI
Source: Sports Mole — match previews
Correct winner
47%
Season points
515 pts
Position
#7 of 17
Exact scores
5
Points per round
—R32
—R33
—R34
—R35
—R36
48R38
Accuracy by prediction type
Correct winner47%
Exact score16%
Starting XI18%
First goalscorer—
Total goals44%

Round by round

Premier League 26/27269 pts
Round 15 of 18 correct112 pts
IPS–SUN2–1Tip 1–129 ptsStarting XI: +3 pts

Ipswich Town possible starting lineup: Scherpen; Ouattara, O’Shea, Diop, Davis; Nunez, Lukic, Egeli; Fatawu, Emersonn, Maeda

Source
EVE–PAL2–0Tip 2–130 ptsStarting XI: +2 pts

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup: Henderson; Canvot, Richards, Riad; Mingueza, Kamada, Wharton, Mitchell; Pino, Sarr; Strand Larsen

Source
NFO–LEE0–1Tip 0–146 ptsStarting XI: +11 pts

We say: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds United

Source
BHA–AVI4–0Tip 1–127 ptsStarting XI: +5 pts

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup: Verbruggen; Weiffer, Dunk, Vuskovic, Kadioglu; Ayari, Gross; Gomez, Hinshelwood, De Cuyper; Rutter

Source
MNC–BOU2–1Tip 2–141 ptsStarting XI: +5 pts

We say: Manchester City 2-1 Bournemouth

Source
Round 21 of 4 correct32 pts
BOU–EVE1–1Tip 1–133 pts

We say: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton

Source
COV–HUL0–1Tip 1–125 pts

We say: Coventry City 1-1 Hull City

Source
TOT–NEW0–2Tip 2–221 pts

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup: Kinsky; Porro, Van Hecke, Van de Ven, Robertson; Fernandes, Tonali, Gallagher; Savio, Richarlison, Tel

Source
Round 31 of 5 correct27 pts
NEW–BOU2–2Tip 2–125 pts

Bournemouth possible starting lineup: Petrovic; Smith, Hill, Silva, Truffert; Cook, Scott; Rayan, Kluivert, Tavernier; Evalinson

Source
BHA–LEE1–1Tip 2–221 pts

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup: Verbruggen; Costinha, Vuskovic, Dunk, Kadioglu; Ayari, Yalcouye; Gomez, Gross, De Cuyper; Rutter

Source
MNC–COV1–0Tip 4–121 pts

We say: Manchester City 4-1 Coventry City

Source
HUL–AVI0–0Tip 1–125 pts

However, we are backing the visitors show signs of improvement this weekend and they may find a way to claim a share of the spoils in a tightly-contested affair at the MKM Stadium.

Source
Round 41 of 6 correct38 pts
PAL–IPS2–3Tip 3–221 pts

We say: Crystal Palace 3-2 Ipswich Town

Source
BOU–BRE2–2Tip 2–243 ptsStarting XI: +3 pts

We say: Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford

Source
CHE–HUL2–2Tip 2–125 pts

We say: Chelsea 2-1 Hull City

Source
Round 54 of 8 correct60 pts
EVE–IPS1–0Tip 2–121 pts

We say: Everton 2-1 Ipswich Town

Source
NEW–HUL2–1Tip 2–225 pts

We say: Newcastle United 2-2 Hull City

Source
LEE–PAL0–0Tip 3–117 pts

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup: Henderson; Tomiyasu, Richards, Ahanor; Khalaili, Timber, Wharton, Mitchell; Sarr, Pino; Strand Larsen

Source
MNC–SUN5–3Tip 2–043 ptsStarting XI: +11 pts

Manchester City possible starting lineup: Donnarumma; Nunes, Dias, Guehi, Gvardiol; Anderson, Fernandez; Ndiaye, Cherki, Semenyo; Haaland

Source
Champions League 26/2746 pts
Round 11 of 6 correct46 pts
FCF–IBE2–3Tip 2–125 pts

Saburtalo Tbilisi possible starting lineup: Megrelishvili; Amisulashvili, Selimovich, Zouri, Dzhindzholava; Kardava, Dadiani; Gudushauri, Bartshvili, Bedoshvili; Dzagania

Source
SUN–ALM0–2Tip 1–225 pts

We say: Sutjeska Niksic 1-2 Kairat (Kairat to win 4-2 on aggregate)

Source
PSV–SHA1–1Tip 2–121 pts

Shakhtar Donetsk possible starting lineup: Riznyk; Karavaev, Bondar, Matvienko, Henrique; Ocheretko, Nazaryna, Gomes; Alisson, Elias, Newerton

Source
Premier League 25/26200 pts
Round 221 of 14 correct82 pts
Round 231 of 6 correct32 pts
Round 242 of 6 correct38 pts
Round 25not checked yet—
Round 26not checked yet—
Round 27not checked yet—
Round 28not checked yet—
Round 30not checked yet—
Round 31not checked yet—
Round 32not checked yet—
Round 33not checked yet—
Round 34not checked yet—
Round 35not checked yet—
Round 36not checked yet—
Round 382 of 7 correct48 pts
WHU–LEE3–0Tip 3–247 ptsStarting XI: +7 pts

Backed by a raucous home crowd at the London Stadium, expect the Hammers to improve on their dire display at Newcastle and dig deep to secure a gritty, high-stakes victory in an entertaining end-to-end contest, which may prove to be enough to avoid the drop.

Source
MNC–AVI1–2Tip 3–123 ptsStarting XI: +2 pts

With that in mind, an entertaining home win could be on the cards here.

Source

Recent predictions

Not checked yetFixtures that have not finished, or that we have not checked yet.37
BOU–AVI7 Feb 2026Tip Drawnot checked yet

Goals at both ends is likely given how leaky the Cherries and Villa - particularly the former - have been at the back in recent weeks, but we believe that the spoils will be shared in an entertaining score draw on this occasion.

Source
NEW–BRE7 Feb 2026Tip 1–2not checked yet

Newcastle United possible starting lineup: Pope; Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Burn; Willock, Tonali, Ramsey; Elanga, Wissa, Barnes

Source
AVI–BHA11 Feb 2026Tip 2–1not checked yet

We say: Aston Villa 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Source
MNC–FUL11 Feb 2026Tip 3–1not checked yet

We say: Manchester City 3-1 Fulham

Source
SUN–LFC11 Feb 2026Tip 1–1not checked yet

We say: Sunderland 1-1 Liverpool

Source
BRE–BHA21 Feb 2026Tip 3–1not checked yet

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup: Verbruggen; Kadioglu, Van Hecke, Dunk, De Cuyper; Gross, Baleba; Minteh, Rutter, Mitoma; Welbeck

Source
AVI–LEE21 Feb 2026Tip 2–1not checked yet

We say: Aston Villa 2-1 Leeds United

Source
MNC–NEW21 Feb 2026Tip 3–1not checked yet

Manchester City possible starting lineup: Donnarumma; Nunes, Dias, Guehi, Ait-Nouri; Rodri, O'Reilly; Bernardo, Cherki; Semenyo, Haaland

Source
NEW–EVE28 Feb 2026Tip 1–1not checked yet

We say: Newcastle United 1-1 Everton

Source
LFC–WHU28 Feb 2026Tip 2–1not checked yet

We say: Liverpool 2-1 West Ham United

Source
LEE–MNC28 Feb 2026Tip 2–2not checked yet

We say: Leeds United 2-2 Manchester City

Source
PSG–CHE11 Mar 2026Tip 2–2not checked yet

We say: Paris Saint-Germain 2-2 Chelsea

Source
MAD–MNC11 Mar 2026Tip 1–2not checked yet

We say: Real Madrid 1-2 Manchester City

Source
BUR–BOU14 Mar 2026Tip 1–2not checked yet

Burnley possible starting lineup: Dubravka; Humphreys, Worrall, Esteve; Walker, Ugochukwu, Florentino, Hannibal, Pires; Anthony, Foster

Source
SUN–BHA14 Mar 2026Tip 2–0not checked yet

We say: Sunderland 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Source
WHU–MNC14 Mar 2026Tip 2–3not checked yet

West Ham United possible starting lineup: Hermansen; Wan-Bissaka, Mavropanos, Disasi, Diouf; Fernandes, Magassa, Soucek; Bowen, Pablo, Castellanos

Source
FCB–NEW18 Mar 2026Tip 2–1not checked yet

However, Barca will still be regarded as favourites here and a Yamal-inspired side should find a way to outscore the Magpies.

Source
LFC–GAL18 Mar 2026Tip 3–1not checked yet

We say: Liverpool 3-1 Galatasaray A.E.T (Liverpool to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Source
BHA–LFC21 Mar 2026Tip 1–2not checked yet

We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 Liverpool

Source
FUL–BUR21 Mar 2026Tip 2–0not checked yet

We say: Fulham 2-0 Burnley

Source
EVE–CHE21 Mar 2026Tip 1–1not checked yet

Everton possible starting lineup: Pickford; O'Brien, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Garner, Gueye; Armstrong, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye; Barry

Source
LEE–BRE21 Mar 2026Tip 2–2not checked yet

Leeds United possible starting lineup: Darlow; Rodon, Bijol, Struijk; Bogle, Longstaff, Ampadu, Justin; Stach, Aaronson; Calvert-Lewin

Source
BUR–BHA11 Apr 2026Tip 0–2not checked yet

We say: Burnley 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Source
BRE–EVE11 Apr 2026Tip 1–1not checked yet

We say: Brentford 1-1 Everton

Source
LFC–FUL11 Apr 2026Tip 2–2not checked yet

Liverpool possible starting lineup: Mamardashvili; Frimpong, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Jones; Salah, Szoboszlai, Wirtz; Ekitike

Source
BAY–MAD15 Apr 2026Tip 3–2not checked yet

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup: Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Stanisic; Kimmich, Pavlovic; Olise, Gnabry, Diaz; Kane

Source
BRE–FUL18 Apr 2026Tip 2–1not checked yet

We say: Brentford 2-1 Fulham

Source
CHE–MNU18 Apr 2026Tip 2–2not checked yet

We say: Chelsea 2-2 Manchester United

Source
BOU–LEE22 Apr 2026Tip 2–2not checked yet

We say: Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United

Source
BUR–MNC22 Apr 2026Tip 0–3not checked yet

Manchester City possible starting lineup: Donnarumma; Nunes, Khusanov, Guehi, O’Reilly; Gonzalez, Bernardo; Semenyo, Cherki, Doku; Haaland

Source
FUL–AVI25 Apr 2026Tip 1–2not checked yet

Fulham possible starting lineup: Leno; Castagne, Andersen, Bassey, Sessegnon; Berge, Lukic; Wilson, Smith Rowe, Bobb; Jimenez

Source
WHU–EVE25 Apr 2026Tip 1–1not checked yet

Everton possible starting lineup: Pickford; O'Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko; Garner, Gueye; McNeil, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye; Barry

Source
BRE–WHU2 May 2026Tip 2–2not checked yet

However, a score draw seems the most likely outcome on this occasion.

Source
BOU–PAL3 May 2026Tip 2–1not checked yet

However, taking into account the Cherries’ formidable unbeaten run, and the prospect of Palace protecting key assets for their continental second leg, we are backing the hosts to claim three valuable points to boost their top-seven hopes.

Source
SUN–MNU9 May 2026Tip 1–2not checked yet

Manchester United possible starting lineup: Lammens; Dalot, Maguire, Martinez, Shaw; Casemiro, Mainoo; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Cunha; Sesko

Source
MNC–BRE9 May 2026Tip 2–1not checked yet

We say: Manchester City 2-1 Brentford

Source
MNC–PAL13 May 2026Tip 3–2not checked yet

With Arsenal cheering them on from afar, the Eagles have the credentials the punish City’s high defensive line, but we are backing the hosts to turn up for this much-win match and outscore the visitors, keeping the title race alive for a little while longer.

Source
How points and precision work
TypePointsPrecision
Result11 pts correct · 7 pts wrongShare with the correct winner
Exact score11 pts both scores right · 7 pts one right · 3 pts neitherShare with the exact scoreline
Starting XI11 pts all correct · 7 pts 1 wrong · 5 pts 2 wrong · 3 pts 3 wrong · 2 pts 4 wrong · 1 thereafterShare with all 11 correct
First goalscorer11 pts correct · 7 pts wrongShare with the correct scorer
Total goals11 pts correct · 7 pts wrong · landing on the line does not countShare with the correct over/under
Man of the matchShown but not scoredShown but not scored

Experts score exactly what a Pelea user scores for the same call, which is what makes the numbers comparable. A wrong pick still scores, just as it does for users, and the floor is 1 points; only a pick we could not check at all scores nothing. Precision is measured per tip type, and starting XIs are excluded from the overall percentage: nine of eleven is not a full hit and would drag the percentage down artificially. A pick we inferred from a predicted scoreline counts only in its own category, never in the points total.

The experts are real, named sources. These predictions were published by the outlets and people named — Pelea did not write them, does not endorse them, and they are not betting advice. Each one links to where it was published.

Oliver Thomas · Expert panel